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[Water_news] 2. DWR'S CALIFORNIA WATER NEWS: SUPPLY -4/01/09

Department of Water Resources

California Water News

A daily compilation of significant news articles and comment 

 

April 1, 2009

 

2. Supply –

 

'Huge Disparities' Possible For City's Water Cuts Strategy

The Voice of San Diego

 

Major hurdles loom for any water transfers

The California Farm Bureau Federation

 

Blue Gold: Have the Next Resource Wars Begun?

The Nation.com

 

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'Huge Disparities' Possible For City's Water Cuts Strategy

The Voice of San Diego – 3/31/09

By Rob Davis

 

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As water supply challenges intensified on the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta in 2007 and the threat of water rationing reappeared, the state Department of Water Resources launched an outreach effort to help cities like San Diego cope with the coming problem.

 

The state gave cities a 208-page, step-by-step guidebook for the looming water shortage, with tips on dealing with the media, managing existing supplies wisely and reducing demand.

 

The document, provided to San Diego city officials during an Oct. 11, 2007 workshop at the San Diego County Water Authority, highlights the pros and cons of several strategies to cut urban water demand.

 

It points out flaws and inequities that the state identified in the type of water-cut plan Mayor Jerry Sanders and the city's Water Department eventually chose and subsequently touted as being the fairest plan for residents. According to the document, San Diego's chosen plan is easier on city government but less fair to residents. Another option that San Diego rejected would be harder on the city but fairer to residents.

City water officials have tried to frame the debate about their plan's fairness by ruling out that other option, which would base cuts on how much water residents need. Those officials have acknowledged that a better, fairer option exists, then mischaracterized the challenges of implementing it and held up their plan as being better and more practical.

Their plan proposes to cut water consumption based on residents' historical use. Those who've used the most would still get the most, regardless of whether they're efficient.

 

The state told cities that such a strategy would be easy to implement and administer. But the state warned about creating "huge disparities" in water allotments among similar customers. As it stands, one resident may be penalized for using gallon No. 100,001. A next-door neighbor who irrigates more may not be penalized until using gallon No. 500,001.

In the 208-page guidebook, the state identified three cons to the city's chosen approach:

 

  • It penalizes residents who've conserved.
  • It rewards above-average users.
  • It promotes water use during periods without shortages.


The strategy was commonly used when drought hit California in 1977. The state noted that the public did not like it.

It "was widely perceived as inequitable because it had the effect of penalizing former water conservers while rewarding those who had previously used large water quantities," the report says. "Neighbors living in identical houses could therefore receive vastly different water allotments."

 

 

The city has taken steps to address some of the state's issues. The city will exempt 21 percent of residents from cuts because they use less than 4,488 gallons per month. And the city will try to distinguish between the water that residents use inside for sanitation and outside for irrigation. In the unlikely case that a 20 percent cut is needed, the city will ask for residents to cut interior use by 5 percent and irrigation by 45 percent.

The city's efforts to pinpoint interior use (which won't be cut as much) will be imperfect. It will find the lowest 60-day period of winter water-use between July 2004 and June 2007. That estimate can be inflated if a resident unnecessarily watered plants or a lawn during that time. Residents can get credit for as much as 14,960 gallons a month of interior use -- enough for a family of 10 -- regardless of how many people live in the house.

 

The state warned local districts that basing cuts on historical consumption would not foster long-term conservation -- only a small, unsustained effort. It said residents would potentially increase water use when the shortage abated, so as to increase their baseline allocation the next time cuts came.

Jim Barrett, the city's public utilities director, rejected the state's warning that strategies like San Diego's would promote increased water consumption if the shortage abates.

"I do not see that as a potential outcome," he said. "We're talking about reasonable people. They're not going to pay more now just betting that they'll have more later."

The state report pointed to strategies similar to the one employed in the Irvine Ranch Water District (and in a handful of other agencies across the state) as being optimal for residents. Irvine Ranch gives its customers 300 gallons a day for internal use, assuming a family of four, and bases outdoor needs on lot size and weather conditions. Residents who exceed their allocation pay higher rates.

San Diego Water Department officials have rejected that strategy in the short-term, saying that it would take too long to implement. City water officials have said that Irvine Ranch took years to implement its plan and had to survey every residential property's lot size. That's incorrect, though. Irvine Ranch's program took a year to draft and implement; the district did not do site-by-site surveys.

City water officials say they chose their strategy because they were under a time crunch to ensure a policy was in place by July 1 if mandatory cuts came. "We were really under the gun to do something should allocations be implemented at Metropolitan (Water District) and the County Water Authority," Barrett said.

But the city has had warnings since late 2007 that they'd need such a policy.

Barrett attended the Oct. 11, 2007 state workshop that pointed to the threat of potential mandatory water rationing. The San Diego County Water Authority's top official in October 2007 said preparations were underway.

The city has also been delivering warnings about the potential for rationing. Mayor Sanders acknowledged the possibility as early as September 2007.

The city did not immediately begin drafting a strategy to address the threat, though. With former City Attorney Mike Aguirre calling for stricter water-use restrictions, Sanders and other city officials said in 2007 that they believed voluntary conservation would be sufficient. That approach has only netted a 5 percent decrease in city water use.

The Water Department secured City Council approval to establish water allocations for residents in November 2008. That allows the city to set a ceiling for use at each home and business -- and levy penalties for excessive consumption.

City officials continue asserting that they've chosen the fairest plan, while acknowledging they didn't choose better options. But they have dismissed those better options as unreasonable to implement in a short time, even though they've known about the potential for shortages since 2007.

Choosing a plan like Irvine Ranch's wouldn't be without challenges. The state pinpointed two: Water agencies would have to increase staffing and do computer work, as well as boost public education. Irvine Ranch hired no more than 20 temporary interns to implement its plan.

At least one local water district plans to adopt a similar strategy to deal with the current supply crunch: The Padre Dam Water District, which serves 125,000 people in Santee and El Cajon. Residents will be given an allotment based on their lot size; most will be allowed about 450 gallons per day.

Padre Dam spokesman Mike Uhrhammer said presentations that Irvine Ranch officials gave in San Diego last fall were vital in helping them to decide to follow that model.

"Everyone saw those presentations last fall and said that's the more fair way to do it," Uhrhammer said. "We decided that we weren't going to penalize people who've been conserving from the outset."

San Diego officials say they didn't want to adopt that type of plan because it does not differentiate between the number of people living in a home.#

 

http://www.voiceofsandiego.org/articles/2009/03/31/environment/850statewater033109.txt

 

Major hurdles loom for any water transfers

The California Farm Bureau Federation – 4/01/09

By Kate Campbell

In a drought, moving water from those who can spare it to those who need it sounds logical. But in practice, the procedure is so complicated that water-short California farms and cities may not find water transfers much help this year.

 

The state established a Drought Water Bank last fall to help ease the impact of the water supply crisis. The idea is to buy water from willing sellers, primarily from irrigation districts upstream of the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta, and sell it to those short of water to the south using the state and federal water project to move the added supplies.

 

After six months of effort, DWR says it has the "potential" commitment of about 400,000 acre-feet of water. The amount that actually would be available, however, is still uncertain. Many farmers north of the delta who might have fallowed land or relied more heavily on groundwater to meet their crop needs have now made other plans for their water. Farmers in the south are still trying to figure out how to keep permanent plantings alive through the heat of summer.

 

"Even with the 2009 Drought Water Bank, getting the water to those who need it and who may have paid for extra supplies is challenging," said Danny Merkley, California Farm Bureau Federation water resources director. "There are no guarantees it will be delivered. That's primarily due to the impact of environmental protections for the delta smelt (which resulted in severe cutbacks in pumping water through the delta)."

 

Water officials say that because there's so much uncertainty about contract requirements and environmental limitations, the actual amount of water that could be transferred south may be much less than the 400,000 acre-feet initially hoped for.

 

"We're still getting proposals in from potential, willing sellers so we don't have a number on how much water is actually going to be available for sale," said Teresa Geimer, DWR's Drought Water Bank manager. "We have a list of potential sellers and we've listed maximum amounts and that's the best number we have right now."

 

She said it's hard to tell what the response will be because it's a statewide drought and supplies are limited everywhere.

Statewide, agriculture uses about 34 million acre-feet of water. Total developed water for all purposes is about 78 million acre-feet. Combined water deliveries through the state and federal projects is about 4.8 million acre-feet.

 

Preliminary farm water allocations from the state and federal water projects currently is between zero and 20 percent of contract amount, far short of what farmers need to keep permanent crops alive. Even at 400,000 acre-feet, the amount that could be moved to drought-parched areas is a fraction of what's needed.

 

Water experts say there are a number of hurdles that must be overcome before meaningful supplemental supplies from the state's Drought Water Bank can flow from the Sacramento Valley, through the delta, to the San Joaquin Valley, including resolving environmental constraints, coping with an actual statewide lack of water, addressing inadequate infrastructure and accounting for agricultural market conditions.

 

"There are so many balls in the air right now it's hard to keep your eye on all of them," said Thad Bettner, general manager of Glenn Colusa Irrigation District. "We've got a number of issues to resolve before our farmers can free up water for transfer."

 

For example, he said issues related to protection of the giant garter snake have not been resolved. This will impact the number and location of rice acres that can be fallowed. There are operational issues related to increased flows in the Sacramento River for fishery benefits that prohibit diversion during May and June for any reason, including export.

 

"That means buyers would lose 40 percent of the water they purchased because of having to maintain flows in the Sacramento River," he explained. "These constraints also increase the price for delivering any water that ultimately can be transferred."

 

Groundwater also is problematic, he said. Local communities are concerned about pumping water out of the ground for export south because of the potential impact on aquifers in the Sacramento Valley.

 

"Those are just a few of the limitations. And, then all this has to be covered by environmental documentation. It's difficult to be timely in finalizing transfer contracts when both the state and federal governments have to prepare environmental assessments to cover these sales," Bettner said. "We're not giving up on this. We're still going to try to free up water to meet demands this summer. But it won't be easy."

 

GCID supplies water from the Sacramento River through a 65-mile-long irrigation canal to more than 141,000 acres in crop production. Right now the district has tentative commitment for about 15,000 acre-feet of water from fallowing for the Drought Water Bank.

 

Given the uncertainties, he said farmers have already planted crops, noting, "they're simply reluctant to enter into water purchase contracts when the final criteria for transfer hasn't been decided."

 

Metropolitan Water District of Southern California said it sees water transfers as a viable way to get additional water supplies to the 19 million customers who depend on the district for deliveries.

 

"But, it will not be the only way to get sufficient supplies for either urban or ag use," said Debra Man, the district's chief operating officer. "We recognize that our water challenges are not just related to dry or wet weather. There are more prevailing challenges that we'll face every year in the future."

 

She said that in addition to water transfers, MWD is looking at stepped up conservation, water recycling and desalination.

"It is in the best interest of agriculture and urban water users to fix the state's delivery system through the delta," Man said. "The challenges we face are the biggest cutbacks in state history due to restrictions to protect endangered species."

 

She said all transfer-water purchases are being pursued through the state's Drought Water Bank, but this source alone will not meet MWD's supply shortfall.

 

"We're waiting to hear from DWR that they have final agreements so they can move forward," she said. "But more importantly, we want to know how much water we can procure from the water bank."

 

The uncertainty of the supply available through the Drought Water Bank has made the option less effective than it could be, said Donn Zea, Northern California Water Association president.

 

"Not only are the transfers predicated on state and federal water project allocations, which usually come at the last possible minute, but also on completing required environmental documentation," Zea said. "Once you move into the growing season, farmers have made their plans and they've got to hold on to the water to grow our food.

 

"The Drought Water Bank is a system that in theory is important, but the current situation really points back to the larger issue of flexibility in the water delivery system," he said. "You can't have that without increased water storage.

 

"If we had adequate storage then water transfers, the Drought Water Bank and all the activities of getting water to places where supplies are short would be easier because there would be backup systems that provide the state with greater supply certainty," he said.

 

Meanwhile, the California Latino Water Coalition participated in a press conference last week at the state capitol. The group wanted to underscore to lawmakers the impact the water crisis is having on jobs, families and valley communities

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The group joined Assemblywoman Anna Caballero, D-Salinas, and a number of other lawmakers and county water officials, in urging the board to allow greater cross transfers of water between the state and federal water delivery systems to increase flexibility and efficiency.

 

The petition, however, won't be heard by the State Water Resources Control Board's Division of Water Rights for about a month, adding another layer of uncertainty at a time when commitments to transfer water need to be firmed up.

 

Federal water allocations get small boost

 

Although federal water allocations for agriculture remain at zero for service contractors south of the delta and at just 5 percent north of the delta, allocations for senior water rights holders and wildlife refuges north and south of the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta have been increased from 75 to 100 percent.

 

Federal officials say the increases result from additional precipitation, improved snowpack and improved runoff into Lake Shasta since the March snow surveys. Likewise, improved inflow to Millerton Lake also has increased the updated allocation for Friant Division Class I water from the preliminary allocation of 65 percent to 85 percent.

 

The U.S. Bureau of Reclamation said it is working closely with Central Valley Project municipal and industrial contractors both north and south of the Delta to determine if, to meet public health and safety needs, adjustments are needed to their allocations.

 

The bureau said the increased allocations pave the way for several actions. With additional supply in the CVP system, more water may be available through the joint state and federal Drought Water Bank. Increased water supply would help meet critical water needs statewide.

 

In addition, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service has agreed to postpone the summer delivery of a large portion of its San Joaquin Valley water to federal wildlife refuges until later in the year, freeing the water for other uses.

 

At the beginning of April, the state will conduct the fourth snow survey of the season. With the additional precipitation experienced since the March snow survey and with improved runoff into CVP reservoirs, the bureau said it anticipates announcing an updated water supply allocation in mid-to-late April. #

 

http://www.cfbf.com/agalert/AgAlertStory.cfm?ID=1282&ck=1CECC7A77928CA8133FA24680A88D2F9

 

Blue Gold: Have the Next Resource Wars Begun?

The Nation.com – 3/31/09

By Tara Lohan

 

It has often been said that water is "blue gold" and the next resource wars will be fought, not over oil, but over water. Maude Barlow, senior advisor to the United Nations on water issues, wrote that the way in which we view water "will in large part determine whether our future is peaceful or perilous."

 

Dr. Peter Gleick, founder and president of the Pacific Institute, weighs in on the severity and urgency of the global water crisis.

 

The British nonprofit International Alert released a report identifying forty-six countries where water and climate stresses could ignite violent conflict by 2025, prompting the UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon to affirm, "The consequences for humanity are grave. Water scarcity threatens economic and social gains and is a potent fuel for wars and conflict."

 

There is no doubt that the world's supply of drinkable fresh water is threatened. An astounding one billion people do not have access to safe drinking water today and that number is likely to reach 2.8 billion in only two decades. Will these challenges result in an all-out "water war"? Likely not, experts say. But conflict is stirring and the battle for control over the world's dwindling freshwater resources has already begun with international giants like the US, Israel and China flexing their muscles.

 

China's Hands on Asia's Tap

 

Fifty years since the Dalai Lama fled Tibet and sixty years since the Chinese invaded, thousands have lent their support to the "Free Tibet" movement, but many would be surprised to know that much more than religious and political freedom hang in the balance. The Tibetan plateau is the faucet for much of Asia's drinking water. Major rivers drain from the icy mountains to help quench the farms, homes and factories of China, India, Pakistan, Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Myanmar, Thailand, Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia. Incredibly, the countries affected contain 85 percent of the people in Asia and nearly half the population of the entire globe.

 

Not only does China hold incredible power with its hand on the tap for so many people, but increasingly the rivers originating in the plateau are threatened by record levels of water pollution from industrial activities including deforestation, mining and manufacturing. And that's not even the worst of the problem: as the Keith Schneider and C.T. Pope wrote for Circle of Blue, a warming climate is causing glaciers in the region to recede faster than anywhere else in the world.

 

"Water has emerged as a key issue that could determine whether Asia is headed toward mutually beneficial cooperation or deleterious interstate competition," wrote Brahma Chellaney for the Japan Times.

 

So whatever China does in Tibet ultimately affects everyone downstream. "There is very little public discussion about the international nature of those water resources," said Peter Gleick, president of the Pacific Institute. "I don't know how to get the Chinese to play with everybody else, but there has got to be more international negotiation and diplomacy if we are going to avoid frictions and tensions and ultimately conflict over those water resources."

 

Future predictions about climate change are worrisome, and they're compounded by the fact that things are already bad in China. Industrialization has left water either too polluted to drink or hard to come by in many areas. To make matters worse, the country has been gripped by drought. In February, the Guardian reported that 3.7 million people and 1.85 million livestock were without water.

 

Many fear that Tibet's water will be the answer to China's woes as the country has plans for multiple dams and canal systems to siphon melt from Himalayan glaciers. "Having extensively contaminated its own major rivers through unbridled industrialization, China now threatens the ecological viability of river systems tied to South and Southeast Asia in its bid to meet its thirst for water and energy," wrote Chellaney. "If anything, China seems intent on aggressively pursuing projects and employing water as a weapon."

 

Scarcity Is a Relative Term in the Jordan Valley

 

China is not the only country threatened by drought. In the Middle East, one of the hottest and driest places on earth, water has been a source of contention as well as a point of negotiation. "The Arab-Israeli dispute is a conflict about land--and maybe just as crucially the water which flows through that land," wrote Martin Asser for BBC News.

 

Along the Jordan River, which is now 90 percent diverted by Israel, Syria and Jordan, the countries are indeed facing scarcity. But just what that means for different groups of people, especially the Israelis and Palestinians, is not always clear. "I think scarcity is a political framework in which people work," said Samer Alatout, an expert on Israeli/Palestinian water issues and a professor in the department of rural sociology at the University of Wisconsin. "If you have a general assumption about what scarcity is, for instance less than 500 cubic meters per year per person, that does not really mean anything because you are not asking the question of who gets how much water and when."

 

While consumption varies among Israelis, they have continuous access to water, much like the luxury we enjoy in the United States. Palestinians, on the other hand, are at the will of Israel. In the West Bank, Palestinians have access to only about 20 percent of the water in the aquifer beneath them because sinking wells is prohibited. Their per capita water use is around sixty liters per day, below even the 100-liters-per-day standard of the World Health Organization. For Israelis the number is closer to 300 liters.

 

In Gaza, the aquifer is so overpumped and polluted that it is virtually undrinkable. Of the 4,000 wells in Gaza, Alatout says, only about ten of them would meet the standards of the World Health Organization. About 40 percent of homes in Gaza do not have running water. And for those that do, Alatout says, water service is intermittent. "During the summer they might only have access one day per week for a few hours," he said. "They fill bathtubs and containers. And they buy water from freelancing tankers who cut into the water supply. So much of their effort and their hours in the day [are] spent thinking about trying to get water in their houses."

 

And as in China, things are likely to deteriorate even more in coming decades. "For the Palestinians, climate change will just make their conflict with Israel even worse," wrote investigative journalist Andy Rowell. "Access to water is already a major source of contention. As water becomes scarcer it will add to the conflict. Who controls access to the water resources will control the power."

 

Right now, that power rests firmly with Israel. For this reason, Alatout does not see a war over water in the future there. "The Israelis will not wage war because they are already dominant. The Palestinians cannot wage war really, or the Jordanians; it is not even feasible."

 

That does not mean, he says, that conflicts won't increase or get more heated. Water, after all, is a necessity of life. But water resolutions will also need to be part of a larger framework that addresses the political, cultural and sociological roots of conflict, Alatout says. For the Palestinians, this is an issue tied to their very sovereignty. "If Israel continues to deny Palestinians access to the basic human right of access to clean water, they will deny Palestine its right to be a nation," wrote Rowell. "It will mean there will be no peace."

 

The US Muscles Mexico

 

Most people in the United States have the luxury of not worrying about the right to water--it simply comes out of their tap, and it is clean and plentiful. The idea of a "water war" would likely conjure places like the Middle East or Africa. But in the last few years there has been some real tension between the United States and Mexico.

 

The source of strife is the long-arbitrated Colorado River, which flows 1,450 miles, and whose watershed spreads across seven US states before dipping into Mexico and exiting at the Gulf of California. Just about every drop of it is allocated (and overallocated). Its water serves over 30 million people and 2 million acres of farmland, and via canals and aqueducts, it helps to quench thirsty cities like Las Vegas, Phoenix and Los Angeles.

 

Under the Mexican Water Treaty of 1944 the United States agreed to ensure its southern neighbor 1.5 million acre-feet of water a year. However, for many decades those south of the border often got more than the treaty allotment if the flow on the river exceeded the water farmers could use. Mexico and the river ecosystem came to greatly appreciate that water, as well as groundwater that was replenished from water seepage draining from the All-American Canal--an eighty-two-mile ditch that runs just north of the border and diverts water from the Colorado River across the desert of Southern California to feed farms in the Imperial Valley.

 

But nearly a decade of drought in the Southwest has prompted Colorado River states to find ways to squeeze more water out of the river. They devised a plan to line twenty-three miles of the All-American Canal with concrete to prevent water seepage and also to build a reservoir just north of the border to catch those "excess" flows.

 

The lining of the All-American Canal is likely to yield an extra 67,000 acre-feet a year and the reservoir another 60,000 acre-feet a year. Water managers will proudly declare they've prevented "wasted water" and improved efficiency. But in the desert, water is never wasted. Instead that water seeped underground and flowed beneath the Mexicali Valley south of the border, feeding the fields of local farmers. The area has also provided crucial habitat for millions of migrating birds that use the Pacific Flyway each year.

 

The United States' action strained relations with Mexico. Talks originally initiated to smooth things over fell apart when Mexico sued to prevent the canal lining. Victor Hermosillo, former mayor of Mexicali, wrote:

 

Encasing a new canal in concrete would divert more water for San Diego's emerging suburbs and golf courses, but it would do so with devastating impacts. By drying up the groundwater, the concrete canal would deprive many thousands of Mexicans of their livelihood, forcing them to migrate north. One expert predicts more than 30,000 Mexican jobs could be lost if the canal is built.

 

Environmental groups also answered with litigation over concern for sensitive habitat. But a rider was put in a 2006 omnibus bill in Congress that waived state environmental reviews concerning the project, and it cleared the courts.

 

"The lining of the canal was a major problem," said Michael Cohen, senior researcher with the Pacific Institute. "The Mexican embassy filed a diplomatic note, which apparently in diplomatic circles is a pretty serious affair, expressing their concern with the US's unilateral action. The US State Department maintained that it was US water and they could do whatever they wanted even though the treaty specifically said that the countries should consult if they take action that would affect the other's water. But the US refused to do that. That really chilled relations between the two countries."

 

The United States' strong-arming of Mexico echoes China's position in Asia as well as Israel's relationship to Palestine, where the country with the resources clearly has the political might and there is little chance of recourse for those who are water-shorted. Recently Interior officials and Mexican diplomats posed for a photo-op in DC and vowed to cooperate on the Colorado, but more hurdles lie ahead when it comes to water in the region.

 

One can only hope, says Cohen, that the United States and Mexico can resolve things more equitably in the future, but across the world things may turn out differently as water becomes more scarce. "What's more than likely is the water crisis will continue to get worse," said Aaron Wolf, a professor of geography at Oregon State University and a specialist in transnational water disputes. "The major drivers are population and poverty--nothing new here. Exacerbating that are new demands as countries develop, new awareness of the importance of water for ecosystems and, lastly, climate change. The result will be more people suffering and dying and greater and greater ecosystem loss." Those in rich countries will be able to adapt, he says; those in poorer countries won't be so lucky.

 

But are we necessarily doomed? Not really. Wolf developed and coordinated the Transboundary Freshwater Dispute Database at OSU and has also seen the more hopeful side of things, which is that there are a far greater number of instances where water shortages result in cooperation instead of conflict. But there is no guarantee that the future will look like the past. We live in changing times. In a post-9/11 world even what we consider "war" looks vastly different. And global economic pressures may collide with widespread environmental collapse. The jockeying for position regarding freshwater resources has begun and will continue unless the international community demands equitable resolutions.

 

"The real problem is the crisis, not the danger of conflict," though, says Wolf; "2.5 to 5 million people die every year now because of a lack of access to basic sanitation and a safe, stable water supply. Possible wars in light of this current crisis is a dangerous diversion." The real threat, he warns, is not taking action now to address the water crisis already in our lap. #

 

http://www.thenation.com/doc/20090413/lohan

 

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